Degen Drops $1.1 Million on Patriots to Win Super Bowl
A bettor at Circa Sports put $1.1 million on New England's money line at +188. If the Pats beat Seattle, the payout is $3.17 million.
By Sharp Money Mike
It didn't take 24 hours for someone to drop seven figures on Super Bowl LX. On Monday, a bettor at Circa Sports walked up and put $1.1 million on the New England Patriots money line at +188 odds. If Drake Maye and company pull the upset on February 8, that ticket pays out $3.17 million.
That's not a typo. Someone looked at the Patriots—4.5-point underdogs to Seattle—and said "yeah, I'll risk more than a million on that."
The Quick Hit
- The bet: $1.1 million on Patriots ML at +188
- Potential payout: $3,168,000
- Current line: Seahawks -4.5
- Game date: February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium
This is the first seven-figure wager placed on Super Bowl LX, and it came in before the game was even 24 hours old. When confidence meets capital, this is what it looks like.
Why Someone Might Actually Be Right
New England's playoff run has been absurd. The Patriots were +6000 to win the Super Bowl before the season started. That's 60-to-1. They went 4-13 last year. Mike Vrabel took over a roster that most people wrote off, and here they are.
The Pats beat the Chargers (5th in points allowed), the Texans (1st in points allowed), and the Broncos in a blizzard to get here. Three top-five defenses, all on the road. New England is 9-0 away from Gillette Stadium this season—the first team in NFL history to go undefeated on the road in a single season.
Maye has been money in the playoffs. Nothing flashy, but nothing catastrophic either. He's been exactly what a young quarterback needs to be on a team with an elite defense: don't lose the game.
The Big Money Picture
This $1.1 million bet isn't alone. Here's what else is still alive heading into the Super Bowl:
The biggest outstanding futures bet is $50,000 on Seattle at 60-1, placed back in August. If the Seahawks win, that pays nearly $3 million. But if the Patriots pull it off? That ticket becomes toilet paper.
Another bettor put $10,000 on New England at 80-1 before the season. That would pay $800,000. Someone else dropped $30,000 at +2200 odds—good for $660,000 if the Pats hoist the Lombardi.
Caesars reported taking a $36,000 bet on Seahawks -4.5 and a $55,000 bet on Patriots +4.5 within seconds of opening the line. The action is already flowing.
Where the Line Stands
The spread has moved toward Seattle since opening. DraftKings and theScore opened Seahawks -3.5 and have since moved to -4.5. BetMGM and Hard Rock opened at -5. FanDuel sits at -4.5 with the total at 45.5.
That 50-1 longshot on Seattle is still very much alive. But now there's a whale on the other side of the ledger betting against them.
The Bottom Line
Somebody with $1.1 million and big balls thinks the Patriots are live to win this thing. Given what New England has done this postseason, it's not the craziest bet we've seen. Mike Vrabel's team has defied every expectation. One more upset would cap the most improbable run in recent Super Bowl history—and make one degen $3.17 million richer.