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Sports BettingTuesday, January 13, 20264 min read

Caleb Williams' Fourth Quarter Magic Has Bears Rolling

Williams threw for 184 yards in Q4 alone against the Packers, pulling off the third-largest fourth-quarter comeback in NFL history. Can he do it again?

By Sharp Money Mike

Est. 2019
THE RAGING DEGENERATE
Your Daily Dose of Gambling News
Sports Betting
Caleb Williams' Fourth Quarter Magic Has Bears Rolling
Williams threw for 184 yards in Q4 alone against the Packers, pulling off the third-largest fourth-quarter comeback in NFL history. Can he do it again?
By Sharp Money Mike
ragingdegenerate.com
#NFLPlayoffs #Bears #CalebWilliams #DivisionalRound #DegenLife #GamblingNews

Caleb Williams looked completely cooked through three quarters against the Packers. Down 21-6 heading into the fourth, the Bears' rookie quarterback had been picked apart by Green Bay's defense. Then something clicked, and Williams reminded everyone why he was the first overall pick.

The Quick Hit

  • What happened: Williams threw for 184 yards in Q4 alone—more than his first three quarters combined (177)
  • The damage: Bears 31-28 win, third-largest fourth-quarter comeback in NFL playoff history
  • Why you should care: Chicago faces the Rams as 3.5-point underdogs Sunday
  • The move: Bears +3.5 has value if you believe in Williams' clutch gene

The Numbers Are Absurd

Let's break down Caleb Williams' Wild Card performance by quarter:

Quarters 1-3: 177 passing yards, looking mortal Quarter 4: 184 passing yards, three touchdowns, playoff legend in the making

Chicago outscored Green Bay 25-6 in the final frame. Twenty-five points. Against a divisional rival. In the playoffs. When they looked dead and buried.

The third-largest fourth-quarter comeback in NFL playoff history. The only bigger ones: the Bills erasing 32 points against the Oilers in 1992 and the Colts overcoming 28 against the Chiefs in 2013. Williams just put his name next to some of the most legendary comebacks in league history.

Can He Do It Again?

Here's the million-dollar question heading into the Divisional Round: Was Saturday a glimpse of Williams' ceiling, or was it lightning in a bottle?

The optimistic take: Williams showed he can perform under maximum pressure. He didn't fold when everything was going wrong. He made the throws when they mattered most. That's the mark of a franchise quarterback.

The skeptical take: Relying on fourth-quarter heroics to beat the 8-9 Packers isn't exactly a sustainable playoff strategy. The Rams are better than Green Bay, and LA won't gift Chicago the same opportunities.

The Rams Present a Different Challenge

Los Angeles comes into Sunday's matchup with the better roster on paper. Matthew Stafford is the MVP favorite. The Rams' defense has been solid, and their offensive weapons—Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua—can torch any secondary.

The line opened at Rams -4.5 and has moved toward Chicago, settling around -3.5. That movement suggests some sharp money likes the Bears, probably banking on Williams' momentum and the chaos factor Chicago brings.

But here's the thing: the Rams needed their own comeback magic to beat Carolina 34-31. They're not invincible. This Divisional Round is full of teams that had to sweat out Wild Card Weekend.

What the Market Says

The Bears are 3.5-point underdogs at home—not disrespectful, but not exactly a vote of confidence either. The total sits around 47.5, suggesting oddsmakers expect both offenses to move the ball.

Chicago has been a public fade all season, but Williams' performance Saturday might shift perception. When a quarterback drops 184 yards in a single quarter against a division rival in the playoffs, people pay attention.

The Historical Context

Rookie quarterbacks don't usually do what Williams did Saturday. The pressure of playoff football typically exposes young signal-callers. Williams didn't just survive—he thrived when everything was on the line.

The Wild Card Weekend record-setting drama included four games decided by four points or fewer, with Chicago's comeback the most dramatic of the bunch. Williams was the star of the weekend's wildest game.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams might be the real deal, or he might have just had the game of his life at the perfect time. Either way, the Bears are still playing while half the league has gone home. The Rams should be favored, but anyone betting against Williams now has to account for what he showed against Green Bay. That fourth quarter wasn't luck—it was a quarterback figuring it out when his team needed him most. Worth a sprinkle on the Bears +3.5 if you're feeling the narrative.