Tonight's the night, degenerates. Undefeated Indiana takes on Oregon in the Peach Bowl with a trip to the national championship on the line. If you've been waiting to bet on the Hoosiers' historic run, this is your last chance before the title game.

The Quick Hit

• Matchup: No. 1 Indiana (14-0) vs No. 5 Oregon (13-1)
• Time: 7:30 PM ET on ESPN
• Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
• Line: Indiana -7 | O/U: 56.5
• The angle: Indiana already beat Oregon 30-20 in the regular season

These Teams Already Met

On November 9, Indiana went into Eugene and handled the Ducks 30-20. Fernando Mendoza threw for 287 yards and three touchdowns. Oregon's defense had no answer for the Hoosiers' balanced attack.

Since that loss, Oregon has won five straight — including a dominant 35-0 shutout of Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl quarterfinal. Dante Moore has been unconscious, averaging 312 passing yards in the playoff run.

But Indiana hasn't lost to anyone. They just dismantled Alabama 38-3 in the Rose Bowl, one of the most shocking results in playoff history. The CFP bye team curse continues for everyone else — except the teams actually playing.

The Betting Angles

Why Indiana covers:

• Already proved they can beat Oregon
• Mendoza is playing like the Heisman winner he is
• Defense held Alabama to 3 points
• Momentum and confidence at all-time highs

Why Oregon covers:

• Adjustments since first meeting
• Dante Moore is peaking at the right time
• Oregon's defense has tightened up significantly
• The Ducks want revenge

The sharps have been on Indiana all week. The line opened at -6 and has moved to -7 despite heavy public money on Oregon. When the line moves against the public, you pay attention.

Fernando Mendoza: NFL Mock Draft Alert

There's a real chance we're watching the No. 1 and No. 2 overall picks in the 2026 NFL Draft tonight. Mendoza has first-overall-pick written all over him — the arm talent, the poise, the production.

Dante Moore is right there too. Both quarterbacks could hear their names called in the top five come April.

If you're into futures, both of these guys' draft positions are tradeable on prediction markets. The prediction market space has been chaotic lately, but draft position contracts have been relatively stable.

Props Worth Watching

Fernando Mendoza over 275.5 passing yards (-115): He's hit this in four of his last six games, including 287 against Oregon in the regular season.

Dante Moore over 2.5 TD passes (+120): Oregon will need to score to stay in this game. Moore has thrown 3+ TDs in three of his last four.

Indiana -7 first half (-110): The Hoosiers have dominated first halves all season. They led Alabama 21-0 at the break.

The Other Semifinal

Before tonight's game, don't forget the Fiesta Bowl: No. 6 Miami vs No. 4 Ole Miss at 4:00 PM ET. Carson Beck and Jaxson Dart are going to put up points. The over is 63.5 and it might not be enough.

If both favorites win tonight, we get Indiana vs Miami for the national championship on January 19. That's a game nobody predicted in August.

The Bottom Line

Indiana has done everything asked of them. They beat Oregon once. They demolished Alabama. They're 14-0 and playing with the confidence of a team that knows they're the best in the country.

Oregon's got talent and motivation, but Indiana has looked unbeatable. The Hoosiers -7 is the play. This team isn't losing tonight.

Kickoff at 7:30 PM ET. See you at the book.