Week 18 is weird. Half the teams are resting starters, the other half are fighting for their playoff lives, and the prop market is a minefield of traps and treasures. But that's where the value lives.

Here are the best player props for Sunday's NFL action.

The Quick Hit

• What happened: Week 18 brings chaos, motivation mismatches, and prop opportunities
• The damage: Spreads are all over the place, but props tell the real story
• Why you should care: This is where degenerates separate themselves from casuals
• The move: Kelce TD, Darnold passing, Hurts rushing—all value plays

Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+150)

If this is indeed Kelce's final game, Andy Reid is going to scheme up a touchdown for his tight end. Book it.

Kelce has 12 career touchdowns against the Raiders, more than against any other team. He hasn't scored in four games, which means he's due. And Reid loves designing red zone plays for 87.

The Chiefs might be 6-10 and playing out the string, but they're going to give Kelce one last moment. Take the plus-money and bet with your heart.

Sam Darnold Over 275.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Darnold has been incredible this season, and Saturday's game against the 49ers is for the NFC's top seed. He's not holding back.

San Francisco's defense has been gutted by injuries. Without Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, the pass rush is nonexistent and the coverage is vulnerable. Darnold should have time to work downfield.

He's averaging 287 passing yards per game over his last five starts. The 275.5 number is begging to be crushed.

Jalen Hurts Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

The Eagles are playing the Commanders, and Hurts loves running against Washington. He's rushed for 50+ yards in three of his last four games against the Commanders.

Philadelphia might be resting some skill position players, which could mean more designed runs for Hurts. He's also been dealing with a minor knee issue that won't affect his mobility but might limit how much they want him scrambling in the pocket.

The 45.5 number is low. Hurts smashes this.

Trevor Lawrence Under 1.5 Interceptions (-165)

Lawrence has been careful with the football all season. He's thrown multiple interceptions in just three games, and none of those came against bottom-feeding defenses.

The Titans are bad, but they're not forcing turnovers. Tennessee has the fewest takeaways in the NFL this season. Lawrence protects the ball, runs up the score, and keeps it clean.

The juice is steep, but the probability is high.

Bo Nix Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Denver needs to win to clinch a playoff spot, and the Chargers are sitting Justin Herbert. This is a get-right game for the Broncos offense.

Nix has been inconsistent, but he's shown the ability to air it out when the situation calls for it. Against a Chargers defense that might mentally check out, he should find plenty of opportunities downfield.

The total is low because of the Chargers' tank job, but Nix still needs to produce. Take the over.

Derrick Henry Under 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

This feels counterintuitive, but hear me out. The Ravens are playing the Steelers for the AFC North title. Baltimore is going to lean on Lamar Jackson more than Henry.

Pittsburgh's run defense has been solid, and the Ravens might want to protect Henry from heavy contact before the playoffs. He's been dealing with minor injuries all season.

85.5 is a big number for a game where Baltimore might be more pass-heavy than usual.

The Parlay Special

Kelce TD + Darnold Over 275.5 + Hurts Over 45.5 Rushing

Odds: Approximately +650

This is the Week 18 special. Three props that make sense individually, combined for a nice payout. Kelce gets his moment, Darnold cooks against a depleted defense, and Hurts runs wild against Washington.

The Bottom Line

Week 18 props require extra homework because the motivation gaps are massive. Focus on players whose teams have something to play for, and fade anyone on a squad that's clearly tanking.

Kelce TD is the emotional lock. Darnold over is the analytical lock. The rest is just finding edges in a chaotic slate.

Good luck, degenerates. May variance be ever in your favor.