NHL Friday: Knights at Leafs, Devils Face Canucks
Eight NHL games tonight with Vegas visiting Toronto as slight underdogs. The Devils are 16-4 against the Canucks in their last 20 meetings.
By Sharp Money Mike
Friday's NHL slate features eight games with some compelling matchups. Vegas visits Toronto in a showdown between two of the league's better teams, and the Devils head to Vancouver where they've historically dominated.
The Quick Hit
- Featured Game: Golden Knights at Maple Leafs, Toronto -102 ML
- Best Trend: Devils are 16-4 SU in last 20 vs Vancouver
- Over Alert: Vegas overs hitting at 70% clip lately
- Why you should care: Some historical trends worth riding
Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs
The Knights (24-12) head to Scotiabank Arena to face the Leafs, with Toronto installed as slight home favorites at -102 on the moneyline.
Expected Goalies: Adin Hill for Vegas, Joseph Woll for Toronto
Key Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Vegas's last 17 games
- Vegas is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
- Vegas is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Toronto
Vegas is coming off back-to-back losses, including a 4-3 road loss to Boston. Toronto has been solid at home and should have the crowd behind them.
The over has been the play with Vegas lately. Their games have been high-scoring affairs, and 12-of-17 going over is a significant trend.
New Jersey Devils at Vancouver Canucks
The Devils make the trip to Rogers Arena for a 10 PM ET start. New Jersey owns this head-to-head matchup historically.
The Trend That Screams: Devils are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against Vancouver. That's an 80% win rate against the Canucks over an extended sample.
Counter Trend: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games. The Devils are also 4-1 SU in their last 5 overall, playing good hockey right now.
If you believe in historical trends, Jersey against Vancouver is about as clean as it gets.
Other Games on the Board
Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks (7 PM ET) Andrei Vasilevskiy expected in goal for Tampa, Arvid Soderblom for Chicago. The Lightning should handle the rebuilding Hawks.
St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars (8 PM ET) Joel Hofer vs Casey DeSmith. Dallas at home is typically reliable.
Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche (9 PM ET) Daniel Vladar for Philly, Mackenzie Blackwood for Colorado. The Avs at home should be heavy favorites.
Washington Capitals at Calgary Flames (9 PM ET) The Caps on the road in a tough travel spot.
Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken Lukas Dostal vs Joey Daccord. Two teams outside playoff contention.
New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks Jonathan Quick vs Yaroslav Askarov. Rangers should roll in San Jose.
The Betting Angles
The Vegas over trend is hard to ignore. When 12 of 17 games go over, you ride it until it stops working. Tonight's total will be worth watching.
The Devils-Canucks historical edge is remarkable. Going 16-4 against any single opponent over 20 games is unusual in a league with this much parity. Jersey has Vancouver's number.
The Bottom Line
Friday's slate has some clean trends to follow. The Vegas over, the Devils dominating Vancouver, and Tampa handling Chicago are the paths of least resistance.
The Jets slump we covered earlier seems to have corrected itself, but there are always teams in the league going through rough patches. Check recent form before betting any of these games—what happened a month ago matters less than what's happening now.