At BetMGM, the pregame coin flip has drawn more bets than any individual player prop on the Super Bowl LX board. More than Kenneth Walker rushing yards. More than Jaxon Smith-Njigba receptions. More than Drake Maye passing touchdowns. Heads or tails is king, and honestly, this is the most degen thing I've heard all week.

The Quick Hit

• What happened: Super Bowl coin flip is the most-bet individual prop at BetMGM
• The damage: Ranks 8th overall in Super Bowl wagering, ahead of every player prop
• Why you should care: Because it's a perfect symbol of what Super Bowl betting culture really is
• The move: The coin doesn't care about your analysis. Bet tails, it never fails. (It fails 50% of the time.)

The Numbers Don't Lie

The coin flip sits behind the core markets—point spread, moneyline, total, MVP, and a few others—but has drawn more individual wagers than any player prop on the board. Most of the bets are small. Five bucks here, ten bucks there. But the volume is absurd.

This makes perfect sense when you think about who's actually betting the Super Bowl. On a normal NFL Sunday, the action comes from regular bettors who follow lines and study matchups. On Super Bowl Sunday, your aunt who doesn't know what a first down is drops $20 on the coin flip because it's fun and she has a 50/50 shot.

The Super Bowl is the only sporting event where the casual-to-sharp ratio completely inverts. On any given week, maybe 30% of bets are recreational. On Super Bowl Sunday, it's 70%+. That's how the coin flip beats out Smith-Njigba's receiving yards in bet count.

A Brief History of Degenerate Coin Flip Betting

The coin flip has been a Super Bowl staple for years, but it's gotten bigger as sports betting has expanded. There are reports of six-figure wagers on the coin flip in previous Super Bowls—grown adults putting house-money-level cash on a literal coin toss.

The house edge on a coin flip bet is typically around 4.5% (you bet -110 on either side), which means the books make guaranteed profit regardless of heads or tails. It's the purest expression of the vig in all of sports betting. No analysis can help you. No inside information matters. It's chaos distilled into a single copper disc.

For reference, heads has won 29 of the 59 Super Bowl coin tosses. Tails leads the all-time series 30-29. Do with that information what you will. (It means nothing.)

The Real Super Bowl Props Worth Your Money

If you want props that actually reward analysis instead of luck, here are the sharp plays getting attention:

No 2-point conversion attempted (-175) — Both the Patriots and Seahawks attempted 2-point conversions just 0.2 times per game this season. The under on 2-point attempts is one of the highest-confidence props on the board.

National anthem over/under 120 seconds — Historical data actually matters here. Check the singer, check their previous performances, do the work.

Gatorade color: Orange at +250 — This one is just gambling, but at least the payout is decent.

The Circa bettor who hedged his millions didn't get there by flipping coins. He got there by building a portfolio of smart futures bets across the season. But we can't all be that guy. Sometimes you just want to bet $10 on tails and feel alive.

The Bottom Line

The fact that more people are betting on the coin flip than on any player prop tells you everything about Super Bowl betting culture. It's not about analysis. It's not about sharp money. It's about the shared, absurd, beautiful experience of 100 million people sweating the opening moments of the biggest game of the year over something completely random. And if the Booker-Jenner million-dollar beef is one end of the Super Bowl betting spectrum, the coin flip is the other. Both are equally degen. Both are equally valid. Welcome to the Super Bowl.