The sportsbooks are starting to sweat, and his name is Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Seattle's star receiver has emerged as the biggest liability in the Super Bowl LX MVP market at multiple books, and the handle on his first touchdown scorer prop is through the roof. When the sharps and the public agree on something, the books get nervous—and right now, everyone seems to agree that JSN is going to eat.

The Quick Hit

• What happened: Smith-Njigba drawing heavy MVP and first TD action
• The damage: 24.9% of MVP handle at BetMGM, most-bet first TD at DraftKings
• Why you should care: When books call someone their "biggest liability," pay attention
• The move: JSN first touchdown scorer +550

The Numbers Are Wild

At DraftKings, Smith-Njigba is the most-bet first touchdown scorer at +550 with 15% of the total handle. He's also their second-most-bet MVP candidate by handle at 19%.

BetMGM is even more concerned. JSN has drawn 24.9% of their MVP handle—more than any other player—making him their largest liability in the market. Sam Darnold might be the favorite at +110, but the books would much rather pay him out than see Smith-Njigba take home the trophy.

This kind of one-sided action usually moves lines, but the books are stuck. If they shorten JSN's odds too much, they just create value elsewhere. If they keep the number where it is, they're exposed to exactly the outcome everyone is betting.

Why the Market Loves JSN

Smith-Njigba has been the Seahawks' best offensive weapon in the playoffs. He's got the hands, the route-running, and the trust of Sam Darnold in big moments. Against a Patriots defense that can be beaten through the air, he's the logical target for Seattle's offense to feature.

The Super Bowl props market has been gravitating toward Seattle's passing game in general, but JSN specifically has captured the imagination of bettors. First touchdown scorer is always a crapshoot, but when you're getting +550 on the guy everyone expects to dominate, the math starts to make sense.

What About Kenneth Walker?

Interestingly, bettors are going the opposite direction on Seattle's running back. Kenneth Walker's rushing yards prop is the most-bet prop at BetMGM by total wagers, but 95% of that action is on the under. The line has already moved from 78.5 yards to 73.5.

The market seems to be saying: Seattle is going to throw, Walker is going to struggle, and JSN is going to feast. Whether that's right or not, that's where the money is going.

The Bottom Line

When sportsbooks publicly call a player their "biggest liability," you should take notice. These aren't dumb people running these operations, and they're telling you they're scared of a JSN Super Bowl MVP. At +550 for first touchdown scorer and plus-money on various TD props, there might still be value left on Smith-Njigba before the line adjusts further. Just don't expect these numbers to last all week.