Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara is two weeks away, and we've got our final four. The Seahawks are slight favorites to lift the Lombardi, the Patriots are on a redemption tour, the Rams refuse to die, and the Broncos are... well, the Broncos are starting Jarrett Stidham.

The Quick Hit

• Seahawks: +145 (favorites)
• Rams: +230
• Patriots: +250
• Broncos: +1100

Super Bowl LX takes place February 8, 2026 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. Whoever emerges from today's conference championships gets a trip to the Bay Area.

Seahawks (+145)

Seattle tied for the best record in the NFL and has been absolutely rolling. They demolished San Francisco 41-6 in the Divisional Round, and their conference championship matchup with the Rams marks the third meeting between these teams this season.

Back in February, the Seahawks opened at +6600 on the Super Bowl futures board. Now they're favorites. That's one of the best long-shot stories of the season.

A Nevada bettor has $150K on the Seahawks to win it all. If Seattle lifts the Lombardi, that bet pays nearly $4.5 million.

Rams (+230)

The Rams keep pulling Houdini acts. They survived Houston 24-21 in the Divisional Round despite never looking comfortable. But Matthew Stafford in the playoffs is a different animal, and this roster has proven it can win ugly.

LA has the toughest road—they need to win in Seattle today, then beat whoever comes out of the AFC. But at +230, there's value if you believe the Rams can steal one on the road.

Patriots (+250)

New England's defense has been a turnover machine all season. Drake Maye has evolved into a legitimate franchise quarterback. And they get to play a Denver team starting their backup QB in an AFC Championship game.

The Patriots at +250 might be the best value on the board. They're road favorites today against a team that just lost its starting QB to a broken ankle. If New England wins, they'll likely be Super Bowl favorites regardless of who emerges from the NFC.

Broncos (+1100)

And then there's Denver. The 1-seed in the AFC, playing at home, sitting as +1100 longshots to win the Super Bowl. All because Bo Nix broke his ankle in overtime last week.

Jarrett Stidham gets the start today. He's thrown 8 career passes. The line moved 6.5 points when Nix went down. Denver might be the biggest home underdog in conference championship history.

At +1100, you're basically betting on Stidham to suddenly become a functional NFL quarterback and for the defense to carry the team through two more games. It's happened before—Trent Dilfer has a ring—but it's not the smart bet.

Best Futures Value

Seahawks +145: The chalk, but for a reason. Best team remaining by most metrics.

Patriots +250: Best value if they win today. Would likely open as small Super Bowl favorites vs. either NFC team.

Rams +230: High-risk, high-reward. Need to win on the road twice. But Stafford in big games is worth respecting.

Broncos +1100: Pure desperation degen play. Only bet this if you have Stidham shares in a dynasty league and need the narrative.

Where the Money Is

According to BetMGM, the Seahawks are the book's biggest liability. A Seattle Super Bowl win would be expensive for the house thanks to early futures bettors who grabbed those +6600 odds.

"A Rams-Patriots Super Bowl matchup would be the best outcome for the futures book," per BetMGM's trading manager. So naturally, the betting gods will probably give us Seahawks-Broncos.

The Bottom Line

Two games today determine everything. The Seahawks are favorites but need to survive a division rival they've already split with. The Patriots are heavy favorites but playing on the road against a desperate team with nothing to lose.

If you're betting Super Bowl futures, today is your last chance at these prices. Winners go up, losers go to zero.

Pick your horse. Two weeks until Santa Clara.