Wild Card Weekend starts tomorrow with two games that couldn't be more different. The Rams are laying double digits on the road against a Carolina team that backed into the playoffs. Then the Bears host the Packers in primetime with 15 years of playoff frustration on the line.

Let's break it down.

The Quick Hit

Game 1: Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers | 4:30 PM ET (FOX)

• Line: Rams -10.5 | O/U: 46.5

Game 2: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears | 8:00 PM ET (Prime Video)

• Line: Bears -1 | O/U: 45.5

Rams at Panthers (-10.5, 46.5)

The Rams are the biggest road favorites in Wild Card history (or close to it). Carolina is just the seventh team ever to make the playoffs with a losing record, and their -69 point differential is the third-worst by a division champion since 1970.

On paper, this looks like a massacre waiting to happen.

But wait. These teams played in Week 13. The Panthers won outright, 31-28. Matthew Stafford threw three turnovers. Carolina's defense swarmed the Rams.

So what changed?

Davante Adams is back. He missed that game with a hamstring injury. His return transforms the Rams' offense. Stafford-to-Adams is as good as any connection in football when healthy.

The Rams are healthier overall. That Week 13 loss came during a brutal stretch. Los Angeles has since won out to secure a playoff spot.

Carolina is still Carolina. Bryce Young has improved, but this is a roster with holes everywhere. The Panthers got hot at the right time to steal the NFC South. That doesn't mean they're good.

Sharp play: Rams -10.5. The Week 13 loss was a fluky division game. Los Angeles is the better team by a wide margin, and double digits feels right.

The Rams' path to the Super Bowl runs through Seattle eventually, but they can't look past Carolina. That's exactly what happened in December.

Packers at Bears (-1, 45.5)

This is a pick'em disguised as Bears -1.

The Bears haven't won a playoff game since January 2011. They've lost five straight to the Packers in the postseason. This is their chance to end 15 years of heartbreak against their oldest rival.

Green Bay? They've lost four straight coming into the playoffs. Their last win was against... these same Bears in Week 14.

Bears case:

• 6-1 in their last seven home games
• Won the most recent meeting in overtime
• Soldier Field in January is hostile for visitors
• Playoff desperation is real motivation

Packers case:

• Won the Week 14 matchup
• Jordan Love's experience matters (even sitting behind Rodgers)
• Green Bay is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games — but playoffs reset trends
• They've owned the Bears in January forever

The rivalry factor: This series matters to both fanbases in a way casual fans don't understand. Both teams will show up. Neither will lay down.

Sharp lean: Bears moneyline. The home team getting plus-money or near it in a rivalry playoff game is usually the right side. Chicago wants this badly, and Green Bay has been shaky down the stretch.

Playoff Market Notes

Wild Card Weekend handle projections are massive. Sportsbooks are expecting their biggest non-Super Bowl NFL weekend of the year.

Line movement to watch:

• Rams opened -9.5 and climbed to -10.5 (sharp money on LA)
• Bears opened -1.5 and dropped to -1 (some Packers support)

The Bills-Jaguars game Sunday is drawing the most action, but Saturday's games have clear betting angles.

Props to Consider

Matthew Stafford over 1.5 TD passes (-140): Carolina's secondary is vulnerable. Adams is back. This hits.

DJ Moore over 75.5 receiving yards (+100): Moore has torched the Packers before. Primetime stage, big game, plus money.

Derrick Henry anytime TD scorer (-165): It's Derrick Henry. In January. At Soldier Field. He lives for this.

The Bottom Line

Saturday's Wild Card games offer two completely different betting experiences. The Rams should roll if they respect Carolina (big if). The Bears-Packers game is a coin flip disguised as football.

Rams -10.5 is the confident play. Bears ML is the value play.

Kickoffs at 4:30 and 8:00 PM ET. See you at the book.