After yesterday's chaos—a historic Bears comeback and a Rams-Panthers fourth quarter that tied playoff records—today's slate features three more Wild Card matchups. And with four home underdogs across Wild Card Weekend, this year's playoffs are already delivering the madness we crave.

The Quick Hit

• What happened: Three games today: Bills-Jags (1 PM), Eagles-49ers (4:30 PM), Patriots-Chargers (8 PM)
• The damage: Bills -1.5, Eagles -4.5, Patriots -3.5 are the favorites
• Why you should care: Four of six Wild Card games have home teams as underdogs
• The move: Jacksonville at home on an 8-game win streak getting points? Interesting.

Bills at Jaguars (1:00 PM ET) - Bills -1.5, O/U 52

This is the highest total on today's board, and for good reason. Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen have combined for 77 total touchdowns this season—tied for second-most in any Wild Card QB matchup ever.

The Jaguars are hot. Like, really hot. They've won eight straight and averaged 33.6 points per game during that streak. Jacksonville backed into a Wild Card spot by winning the AFC South, but they've been playing like a contender down the stretch.

Buffalo has Josh Allen. That's the argument. The Bills finished with the fourth-ranked scoring offense and have been within a game or two of the Super Bowl in each of the last three postseasons. Allen is the best quarterback in this bracket, and in a close game, that matters.

But Jacksonville at home, getting 1.5 points, on an 8-game heater? The sharps are interested. Very interested.

49ers at Eagles (4:30 PM ET) - Eagles -4.5, O/U 45.5

Philadelphia is defending their Super Bowl title from last year. The Eagles rested starters in Week 18, ranked second in defensive success rate between Weeks 8 and 17, and have Saquon Barkley finally healthy and running like a man possessed.

San Francisco? They're held together with duct tape and prayers at this point. Nick Bosa is done for the year with an ACL tear since Week 3. Fred Warner's season-ending injury gutted their linebacking corps. Their defense has been 31st in success rate since Bosa went down.

The 49ers might get Trent Williams and Ricky Pearsall back, which helps. And Christian McCaffrey against Philly's bottom-10 run defense could be a factor. But asking this depleted San Francisco team to go into Philly and cover 4.5 points? That's a lot.

Eagles are the right side here, but don't be shocked if this stays close. The 49ers were 7-2 ATS on the road this season.

Chargers at Patriots (8:00 PM ET) - Patriots -3.5, O/U 45.5

The Patriots' turnaround from 4-13 to 14-3 is one of the best stories of the NFL season. Drake Maye has been phenomenal, and New England hosting their first playoff game since 2021 is going to be electric.

But here's the thing: the Chargers defense is legit. They're top-two in the league in completions allowed, completion percentage, and passing touchdowns on throws of 15+ air yards. Maye loves going deep. This could be a rock-fight.

Both teams allow fewer than 21 points per game. The under looks tasty at 45.5. New England's 14 wins look great on paper, but only three came against playoff teams (Panthers, Bills, Ravens). The schedule was soft.

Los Angeles has an injured offensive line, which is a real concern. But Justin Herbert keeping this close? I'd bet on that.

Yesterday's Chaos for Context

If you missed it, the Bears pulled off an 18-point comeback to beat the Packers 31-27 in their first playoff win in 15 years. The Rams survived a record-setting fourth quarter against Carolina 34-31.

The Rams -10.5 and Packers -1.5 both lost. Home underdogs went 2-0 yesterday. Something to keep in mind.

The Bottom Line

Four home underdogs in Wild Card Weekend is wild. Two of them already covered yesterday. The Jaguars are riding an 8-game win streak. The 49ers have been money on the road. The Chargers defense is elite.

Are we overthinking this, or is the public about to get crushed again today?

Only one way to find out. Let's ride.