Saturday's NBA slate gives us eight games of action, and there's legitimate betting value scattered across the board. Let's break down where the smart money should be looking.

The Quick Hit

• What's on tap: Eight NBA games, headlined by Celtics-Clippers and Rockets-Mavs
• The trends: Boston is 13-4 ATS in their last 17, Houston riding a 4-game heater
• Best value: Dallas +7.5 has a 57.2% probability edge per models
• Fade alert: Clippers at home aren't as automatic as their 5-game streak suggests

Celtics at Clippers (10:30 PM ET)

Boston brings their 21-12 record into the Intuit Dome where the Clippers (12-21) are somehow only 1-point underdogs. That number feels disrespectful to a Celtics team that's been printing money for bettors.

The Celtics are 13-4 ATS over their last 17 games. They're 6-1 straight up in their last seven. This is a team that knows who they are and executes accordingly.

The Clippers counter with a 5-game home winning streak, which explains the tight line. But let's be real—those wins came against lesser competition, and Boston is a different animal.

The total is set at 221.5. The under has hit in 6 of Boston's last 9 games, which tracks with their defensive identity. If you're looking for a lean, Celtics and the under feels like the sharper side.

Rockets at Mavericks (8:30 PM ET)

Houston (21-10) comes in as 8.5-point favorites against a Mavericks team (12-23) that's been a disaster. The Rockets are riding a 4-game win streak and playing some of the best basketball in the league.

But here's where it gets interesting: Dimers' model identifies value on Dallas +7.5 at +100 with a 57.2% probability. That's a 7.2% edge, which is substantial.

The Mavs are bad, but 8.5 points is a lot to lay on the road in the NBA. Dallas has enough talent to keep games within single digits even when they lose. The spread might be overcorrecting for Houston's hot streak.

Other Games Worth Watching

Timberwolves at Heat (5:00 PM ET): Miami is only a 2.5-point home underdog despite the Heat's 4-game win streak at home. Minnesota is 11-3 straight up in their last 14 against Miami. The Wolves are the better team, but the Heat know how to play at home.

Knicks at 76ers (7:30 PM ET): New York has a massive 70.53% win probability in this matchup. The Knicks have been on a tear since that Christmas Day comeback against Cleveland.

Warriors at Jazz (10:00 PM ET): Utah +12.5 shows a 4.4% edge with 56.7% probability at -110. That's a big number, even for the struggling Jazz.

The Bottom Line

Saturday's slate has clear favorites but the edges are in the spreads, not the moneylines. Boston should handle the Clippers, but the number feels right. Dallas +7.5 is the value play of the night. And if you're looking for totals, the under in Boston's games has been the move all season.

Lock in your bets and enjoy the action. Eight games means there's always something to sweat.